This is what we’ve all waited for. 17 Weeks of regular season. 3 Weeks of playoffs. And it all comes down to today. One game, but unlimited bets.
All season long, we at OTBR have been using the Westgate Las Vegas (aka Hilton, aka LVH, aka The International) sports book lines. For the Super Bowl, they have hundreds of ways to bet on the games. They have the standard straight bets, but the list of prop bets is clearly a showing of how much they know and how much they lead the sports betting world.
The Carolina Panthers versus the Denver Broncos.
I have admittedly been a Broncos seller all year. My predictions early in the season were that Peyton Manning was over-rated, and there was absolutely no way the Broncos defense could keep winning games for them. I have been losing on that all year. I have been burned by that all year. Had I laid off on betting against the Broncos, I would have saved a lot of money.
I have also stayed away from betting the Carolina Panthers most of the year, because I really didn’t know what type of team they were. If I’m not confident, I’m not betting. I didn’t think they were as good as they actually are. How they made it to the Super Bowl had been a mystery. But they are a great team. They win games, and they win games by a lot.
So what’s going happen? What the betting strategy?
With all of the bets available, you have to play out the game ahead of time. What do you think is going to happen, and then bet along those lines. Then do you want to hedge any of those bets. And is there value in other places.
My prediction is that the Panthers are going to win. They are going to score a lot early. The Broncos won’t score too much. So let’s see some of my betting predictions.
Carolina Panthers (-5.5) over Denver Broncos for $44
This is easy.
Carolina Panthers (-.5) in first quarter over Denver Broncos for $44
The Panthers score early, and they score a lot. This is easy money.
Carolina Panthers (-14.5) over Denver Broncos for $20 at +300
The Panthers could blow out the Broncos, and this would pay.
Denver Broncos (-14.5) over Carolina Panthers for $20 at +800
The gods may shine on Peyton Manning, so there is a chance they blow out the Panthers. It won’t happen, but there’s a 1 in 8 chance it does.
I could go on with the other 17 bets I made, but if the coin toss is Tails, then I’m starting the game out good, and there’s only 16 more bets.